XM.com - Trade Forex with up to 1:500 Leverage and up to $5000 Bonus.
FXRank technical section offers a profound and in-depth text and video Forex and Commodities technical analysis reports done by professional analysts with a great understanding of the market
Advertisement

Aussie Dollar steady ahead of key U.S. CPI print

Written by By Dent Research Team of Analysts | 2019-01-10 22:17:00 GMT

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell maintained his flexible rate outlook overnight at a speech in Washington citing a concern in the Chinese economy along with muted inflation. With Powell’s cautious outlook to start 2019, commodity linked currencies continue to receive a boost as investors unwind their greenback positions.

With no Macroeconomic data due for release today from the domestic economy, the Australian dollar will be driven by the latest release of Inflation figures due out this evening from the United States. The AUD/USD looks to continue its recovery and test 0.7200 over the coming days with current support levels at 0.7155.

The Australian Dollar Opens this morning at 0.7185.

 

AUD / NZD

Expected Range: 1.0550 – 1.0720

The New Zealand Dollar remains relatively unchanged from yesterdays reading, opening at 0.6780 despite an attempted rebound from the Greenback.

The big news overnight was the Federal Reserves’ Chairman Powell speech at the Economic Club of Washington DC which received a mixed response. The news was decidedly more hawkish than the meetings minutes on Wednesday with Powell reiterating the Fed’s data driven stance and confidence in the economy. The positive read did lead to a resurgence in the USD in some geographies but mostly failed to sway markets overall. Within this context, the NZD initially fell to a low of 0.6771 before regaining the momentum and touching 0.68. The Kiwi however, failed to move beyond the mark again.

Moving into Friday, the Kiwi again enjoys a relatively uneventful day on the economic calendar. Direction will again be determined from the US with their inflation report due for release on Saturday.

 

GBP / AUD

Expected Range: 1.7620 – 1.7990

The pound fell towards the back end of the north American session as the cable lacked domestic drivers with the focus for the pair still firmly rooted in the US federal reserve, USD weakness and political risks stemming from the impending Brexit vote. GBP/USD traded within a range of 1.2726 and 1.2801 before falling from 1.2780 to levels nearer to 1.2750. EUR/GBP fell on the day as an air of caution enveloped the European market after both Germany and France have displayed weaker than expected Q4 growth and PMI numbers. The ominous signs for 2019 growth in the eurozone have pushed the EUR lower, with EUR/GBP falling from 0.9060 to 0.9011.

On the Brexit front, Prime Minister Theresa May has been speaking to union leaders and Labour MP’s in a desperate attempt to get her Brexit deal through the UK parliament, even though a large portion of her own ministers oppose it.

We still see initial intraday support for GBP/USD around the 1.2720 handle, with any topside moves expect to face selling pressure approaching the key psychological 1.2800 level.

 

AUD / USD

Expected Range: 0.7080 – 0.7220

The US dollar rebounded through trade on Thursday bouncing off three-month lows following commentary from Fed Chair Jerome Powell. The US Central Bank head confirmed policy makers intended to shrink the banks balance sheet throughout 2019, indicating the FOMC is not done tightening monetary policy. Powell’s upbeat assessment of near term economic performance and his commitment to flexible and adaptive monetary policy helped the USD advance against most major currency counterparts allowing the dollar index to push back through 95.5.

Despite the hawkish undertone investors remain bearish when assessing likely Fed rate hikes with much of the market pricing out a 2019 rate amendment, frontrunning signs the US economy is turning and may be ahead for recession should global growth constraints and ongoing trade hostilities continue.

Attentions today turn to US CPI data as the headline item on the day macroeconomic ticket. A soft helps fuel market expectations the Fed will delay rate hikes and could compound the recent dollar weakness.

 

AUD / EUR

Expected Range: 0.6180 – 0.6320

The EUR tumbled against the USD amidst news of a much weaker than expected figure in French industrial production. This was the weakest figure in 4 years and comes off the back of poor German industrial production figures released earlier this week.

The release of the ECB minutes yesterday revealed that the European officials are much more concerned with the deteriorating situation in the Eurozone than they let on. Another important takeaway is the confirmation that a new Target Long Refinance Operation (TLTRO) is under consideration, and that they suggested to revisit the contribution of it to monetary policy going ahead. The TLTRO is a refinancing operation where the ECB can lend long-term loans to banks, and offer them an incentive to increase their lending to businesses and consumers in the Euro area. This will help return inflation rates to level below, but close to 2% over the medium term.

The EUR opened at 1.1498 against the USD this morning.

 

AUD / CAD

Expected Range: 0.9380 – 0.9580

Canada enjoyed a quiet day on the economic calendar with movements driven by releases south of the border. The United States had further speeches from the Federal Reserve to digest which ultimately did very little, despite some fluctuations throughout the session. The 6-day appreciation of the CAD against the USD finally came to an end with the Greenback appreciating a paltry 0.1% against its northern neighbour. Initially, things looked rosier for the US Dollar as it rose as high as 1.3250 but it was slowly whittled down to open this morning at 1.3235.

The big news overnight was the speech from FOMC Chairman Jerome Powell who reiterated the data driven nature of rate hikes and his confidence in the economy. His attempt to calm markets after the FOMC minutes on Wednesday was mostly successful with the sell-off of the USD reversing direction in some geographies. The Canadian Dollar however, mostly held its ground.

Moving into the end of the week, the Canadian Dollar looks again to the US for direction in lieu of any data from Canada. 

Author

By Dent Research Team of Analysts
hotforex

Start Trading With Top Industry Brokers

Broker Profile Open Account
XM
  • Minimum Deposit: 5 USD
  • Leverage of up to 1:30
  • Leverage applies to all EU regulated entities of the group. Leverage depends on the financial instrument traded.
  • Broker Type : Market Maker
  • Regulation : CySEC,ASIC, FCA
  • XM
    FBS
  • Offer: 50USD No Deposit Bonus
  • Offer: 100% Deposit Bonus
  • Minimum Deposit: 1 USD
  • Leverage of up to 1:500
  • Broker Type : Market Maker
  • Regulation : CRFIN (Russia), 009069697 IFSC (Belize), IFSC/60/230/TS/12
  • FBS
    Tickmill
  • Offer: 30USD No Deposit Bonus
  • Minimum Deposit: 25 USD
  • Leverage of up to 1:500
  • Broker Type : ECN/STP & STP
  • Regulation : FSA SD008
  • Tickmill

    The Best Crypto to Crypto

    Exchanger Advantages Open Account
    binance
  • Safety Stability: Multi-tier & multi-cluster system architecture
  • Binance charges a quite low commission fee
  • Multiple-Coin Support : BTC, ETH, LTC, BNB...
  • High Liquidity
  • Multiple-Language Support
  • binance
    changelly
  • Instant cryptocurrency exchange
  • More than 500,000 satisfied users
  • Changelly charges a quite low commission fee
  • Safety Stability
  • changelly
    bitmex
  • Bitmex - Bitcoin Mercantile Exchange is a cryptocurrency derivatives trading platform.
  • Bitmex charges a quite low commission fee
  • Safety Stability
  • changelly

    Best Brokers to Trade Crypto

    Broker Profile Open Account
    XM
  • Minimum Deposit: 5 USD
  • Leverage of up to 1:30
  • Leverage applies to all EU regulated entities of the group. Leverage depends on the financial instrument traded.
  • Broker Type : Market Maker
  • Regulation : CySEC,ASIC ,FCA
  • XM
    FBS
  • Offer: 50USD No Deposit Bonus
  • Offer: 100% Deposit Bonus
  • Minimum Deposit: 1 USD
  • Leverage of up to 1:500
  • Broker Type : Market Maker
  • Regulation : CRFIN (Russia), 009069697 IFSC (Belize), IFSC/60/230/TS/12
  • FBS
    eToro
  • Offer: 1000USD Deposit Bonus
  • Minimum Deposit: 50 USD
  • Leverage of up to 1:400
  • Broker Type : STP
  • Regulation : ASIC, 335692 CFTC/NFA, 0382918 CySEC, 109/10
  • eToro

    Contact us
    fxrank.net@gmail.com